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Staff Profile


Career Summary


Dr Tuyl is a lecturer in the School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences. He has a PhD in Statistics, and has published and presented at conferences in the field of Bayesian methods and applications. Dr Tuyl also has more than 20 years of statistical and operations research consulting experience in manufacturing, information technology, academia and health sectors, with demonstrated skills in a large variety of statistical and operations research techniques.


  • PhD, University of Newcastle, 07/06/2007


Research keywords

  • Applied Statistics
  • Biostatistics
  • Statistical Theory

Research expertise

Applied Statistics, Biostatistics, Statistical Theory

Fields of Research

010401Applied Statistics65
110399Clinical Sciences Not Elsewhere Classified25
010299Applied Mathematics Not Elsewhere Classified10


For publications that are currently unpublished or in-press, details are shown in italics.

Click on a category title below to expand the list of citations for that specific category.

Journal article (14 outputs)

2014Haskins R, Osmotherly PG, Tuyl F, Rivett DA, 'Uncertainty in clinical prediction rules: the value of credible intervals.', J Orthop Sports Phys Ther, 44 85-91 (2014)
2010Tuyl FA, Gerlach R, Mengersen K, 'Consensus priors in the presence of general laws', Journal of Applied Probability & Statistics, 5 31-42 (2010) [C1]
2009Dalton CB, Durrheim DN, Fejsa J, Francis JL, Carlson S, Tursan D'Espaignet E, Tuyl FA, 'Flutracking: A weekly Australian community online survey of influenza-like illness in 2006, 2007 and 2008', Communicable Diseases Intelligence Quarterly Report, 33 316-322 (2009) [C1]
2009Tuyl FA, Gerlach R, Mengersen K, 'The rule of three, its variants and extensions', International Statistical Review, 77 266-275 (2009) [C1]
2009Tuyl FA, Gerlach R, Mengersen K, 'Posterior predictive arguments in favor of the Bayes-Laplace prior as the consensus prior for binomial and multinomial parameters', Bayesian Analysis, 4 151-158 (2009) [C1]
2009Carlson SJ, Dalton CB, Tuyl FA, Durrheim DN, Fejsa J, Muscatello DJ, et al., 'Flutracking surveillance: Comparing 2007 New South Wales results with laboratory confirmed influenza notifications', Communicable Diseases Intelligence Quarterly Report, 33 323-326 (2009) [C1]
2009Tuyl FA, Gerlach R, Mengersen K, ''A comparison of Bayes-Laplace, Jeffreys's, and other priors: The case of zero events;' The American Statistician, 62, 40-44: Comment and reply', American Statistician, 63 197-198 (2009) [C3]
2009Tuyl FA, 'Conditional probability and HIV testing: A real-world example', American Statistician, 63 294 (2009) [C3]
2009Paterson B, Durrheim DN, Tuyl FA, 'Influenza: H1N1 goes to school', Science, 325 1071-1072 (2009) [C3]

Co-authors: David Durrheim

2008Tuyl FA, Gerlach R, Mengersen K, 'Inference for proportions in a 2 x 2 contingency table: HPD or not HPD?', Biometrics, 64 1293-1295 (2008) [C1]
2008Cretikos M, Eastwood K, Dalton CB, Merritt TD, Tuyl FA, Winn L, Durrheim DN, 'Household disaster preparedness and information sources: Rapid cluster survey after a storm in New South Wales, Australia', BMC Public Health, 8 1-9 (2008) [C1]
2008Tuyl FA, Gerlach RH, Mengersen KL, 'A comparison of bayes-laplace, jeffreys, and other priors: the case of zero events', American Statistician, 62 40-44 (2008) [C1]
2006Gerlach RH, Tuyl FA, 'MCMC methods for comparing stochastic volatility and GARCH models', International Journal of Forecasting, 22 91-107 (2006) [C1]
2004Easton SA, Gerlach RH, Graham M, Tuyl FA, 'An empirical examination of the pricing of exchange-traded barrier options', The Journal of Futures Market, 24 1049-1064 (2004) [C1]
Show 11 more

Conference (5 outputs)

2013Stokes B, Tuyl F, Hudson IL, 'A New Implementation of Nested Sampling', Proceedings of 33rd International Workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Canberra (2013) [E3]
2011Tuyl FA, 'Were Clopper & Pearson (1934) too careful?', Proceedings of the 4th Applied Statistics Education and Research Collaboration (ASEARC) Conference, Parramatta, NSW (2011) [E1]
2010Tuyl FA, Gerlach R, Mengersen K, 'Conditional confidence of binomial intervals', Australian Statistical Conference (ASC2010) - Statistics in the West: Understanding our World. Program and Abstracts, Fremantle, WA (2010) [E3]
2009Tuyl FA, 'Diagnostic testing: A simple approximate interval for the positive predictive value', ASEARC: Proceedings of the Third Annual ASEARC Research Conference, Newcastle, NSW (2009) [E1]
2004Tuyl FA, 'Confidence Intervals for a Proportion - A Practitioner's View', Conference Handbook, Cairns, Qld (2004) [E3]
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Grants and Funding


Number of grants4
Total funding$469,361

- Indicates that the researcher may be seeking students for this project.

Click on a grant title below to expand the full details for that specific grant.

2014 (1 grants)

Development of a statistical method to estimate past, current and future prevalence of tobacco use at country, regional and global levels$175,000
Funding Body: Department of Health

Project Team
Doctor Frank Tuyl, Professor Irene Hudson, Dr Edouard d'Espaignet
Investment in Preventative Health - Tobacco Harm MinimisationChief Investigator
Total AmountFunding StartFunding Finish

2013 (1 grants)

Faculty PVC Conference Assistance Grant 2013$2,000
Funding Body: University of Newcastle - Faculty of Science & IT

Project Team
Doctor Frank Tuyl
PVC Conference Assistance GrantChief Investigator
Total AmountFunding StartFunding Finish

2009 (1 grants)

Health Behaviour Research Centre (HBRC)$267,361
Funding Body: University of Newcastle

Project Team
Laureate Professor Robert Sanson-Fisher, Conjoint Professor Afaf Girgis, Professor John Wiggers, Conjoint Professor Alison Jones, Conjoint Professor David Durrheim, Associate Professor Christine Paul, Associate Professor Erica James, Associate Professor Billie Bonevski, Conjoint Associate Professor Colin Bell, Doctor Allison Boyes, Professor Kypros Kypri, Conjoint Professor Cate d'Este, Professor John Attia, Doctor Luke Wolfenden, Doctor Frank Tuyl, Ms Lyn Francis, Ms Megan Freund, Dr Claire Johnson, Doctor Josephine Gwynn, Associate Professor Jennifer Bowman, Doctor Sue Outram, Doctor Marita Lynagh, Doctor Natalie Johnson, Doctor Conor Gilligan, Conjoint Professor David Sibbritt, Doctor Edouard Tursan D'Espaignet, Doctor Libby Campbell
Priority Research CentreInvestigator
Total AmountFunding StartFunding Finish

2008 (1 grants)

Upgrade of computer equipment for the computer assisted telephone generalised electronic system$25,000
Funding Body: NHMRC (National Health & Medical Research Council)

Project Team
Professor John Wiggers, Conjoint Professor Afaf Girgis, Conjoint Professor David Durrheim, Associate Professor Jennifer Bowman, Conjoint Associate Professor Colin Bell, Associate Professor Christine Paul, Conjoint Associate Professor Raoul Walsh, Dr Edouard Tursan D'Espaignet, Ms Lyn Francis, Doctor Frank Tuyl, Associate Professor Erica James, Doctor Allison Boyes, Doctor Luke Wolfenden, Doctor Libby Campbell
Equipment GrantInvestigator
Total AmountFunding StartFunding Finish

Research Supervision

Number of current supervisions2
Total current UoN PhD EFTSL0.9

For supervisions undertaken at an institution other that the University of Newcastle, the institution name is listed below the program name.

Current Supervision

ProgramSupervisor TypeResearch Title
20142018PhD (Statistics)Co-SupervisorBayesian Interval Estimation and Performance Measurement
20132017PhD (Statistics)Principal SupervisorDevelopment, Implementation, and Applications of Nested Sampling

Past Supervision

YearProgramSupervisor TypeResearch Title
2013PhD (Statistics)Principal SupervisorApplication of Smooth Tests of Goodness of Fit to Generalized Linear Models

Dr Frank Tuyl

Work Phone(02) 4921 8854
Fax(02) 4921 6898
School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences
Faculty of Science and Information Technology
The University of Newcastle, Australia
Focus AreaStatistics
University Drive
Callaghan NSW 2308